Newsletter Monday, November 18

Investing.com – European stock markets rose Wednesday, as investors digested regional growth and inflation data ahead of the conclusion of the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting.

At 03:15 ET (07:15 GMT), the in Germany traded 0.4% higher, the in France rose 0.4% and the in the U.K. climbed 0.6%.

UK growth stalled in April 

German , harmonised to compare with other European Union countries, rose 2.8% on the year in May, an increase from 2.4% in April.

“The inflation rate is slightly up again, mainly due to the continued increase in service prices,” said Ruth Brand, president of the statistics office.

Prices of services were 3.9% higher in May than in the same month a year earlier, following an increase of 3.4% in April.

The cut interest rates last week, deeming inflation had retreated sufficiently for monetary policy to be eased to boost a struggling economy.

Evidence of the wider region’s weak growth came from the U.K., as was flat in April after a 0.4% month-on-month rise in March.

The figures follow labour market data on Tuesday that showed falling employment and rising unemployment.

Fed meeting in focus

However, the day’s main focus will be the conclusion of the latest Federal Reserve later in the session, where the central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged. 

Fed policymakers are, however, likely to dial back on their projections for three rate cuts this year when they announce their rate decision as inflation has proved to be sticky so far this year.

Futures point to about 36 basis points worth of easing priced in for this year, with the odds of a September cut seen as roughly 50:50.

The widely-watched U.S. release is also due later.

Crude boosted by demand optimism 

Crude prices rose Wednesday, boosted by a series of upbeat views of global demand. 

By 03:15 ET, the futures (WTI) traded 0.7% higher at $78.46 per barrel, while the contract climbed 0.5% to $82.34 per barrel.

Data from the , released on Tuesday, showed that U.S. oil inventories shrank more than expected last week, ramping up hopes that U.S. fuel consumption was picking up with the onset of the travel-heavy summer season. 

Adding to the optimism was the news that the U.S. Energy Information Administration has raised its 2024 world oil demand growth forecast to 1.10 million barrels per day from a previous estimate of 900,000 bpd.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries maintained its 2024 forecast for relatively strong growth in global oil demand in its , citing expectations for travel and tourism in the second half.

A monthly report from the is also due later this week, while the EIA also releases the official weekly U.S. report.

 



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