Newsletter Friday, November 22

And on Tuesday, its stock slid 9.5%, shedding $278.9 billion in valuation — the biggest single-day loss ever recorded by a US company.

The wipeout is tied to concerns, including the health of AI and the US economy.

A metric for manufacturing jobs, released on Tuesday, shrank for the third consecutive month, and both major indices took a hit. There’s also bearish sentiment about a US employment employment report later this week. In just two weeks, analysts expect the Fed to announce interest rate cuts, which could be larger than they first expected, sending omens about the chances of a recession.

At a company level, one strategist flagged that Nvidia is flashing a big “sell” sign to investors.

Bill Blain, the founder of Wind Shift Capital and a longtime financial strategist, wrote in a note on Tuesday that Nvidia’s soaring valuation has made many of its employees very wealthy. Citing numbers from a recent poll, Blain said that leaves less than a third of Nvidia’s staff with “any real daily financial pressure upon them,” which should make investors question their motivation and Nvidia’s productivity.

There were also renewed warnings about AI spending and how it will take time to materialize into results for investors.

Michael Cembalest, the chairman of market and investment strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management, said investors are looking past GPU sales and focusing on whether the tech giants on Nvidia’s customer list can make money from the hundreds of billions they have spent on AI. Blackrock echoed a similar sentiment: Investors are debating whether the dollars in spending will show up in future bottom lines, and how many years it will take.

These concerns explain why Nvidia was not the only chipmaker that took a hit on Tuesday. Intel fell 8.8%, AMD dropped 7.8%, and Qualcomm fell almost 7%. An overall chip index — VanEck Semiconductor — was down 7.5%.

Nvidia’s stock fell 2.4% after hours after the US Department of Justice subpoenaed the company as part of a probe into whether it violated antitrust laws.

Nvidia’s massive valuation drop comes more than two years after Meta lost $237 billion in market value in a single day in February 2022. Apple, which held the record before that, lost $180 billion in one day in September 2020.

The 2022 rout was Meta’s second time on the chart. In July 2018, the company shed $119 billion in market cap in a single day after reporting slowing growth in its second-quarter earnings. It was the largest one-day market cap slump at the time.



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