Newsletter Thursday, November 21

​​​Nasdaq 100 looks for more gains

​The index finished up on the week, having rallied back above 18,000 as well as holding above the 200-day SMA.​For the moment the buyers remain in control, having lifted the index from its lows. Further gains target 19,000 and then the late July high at 19,500. A close back below 18,000 might signal that a new leg lower has begun.

Nasdaq100 Daily Chart

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​Dow claws back losses

​A bullish view prevails here too, after the index rebounded from the lows of the week around 38,500.

​A close back above the 50-day SMA would help to bolster the bullish view, and open the way to 40,000 and higher. Sellers will need a close back below 39,000 to suggest a retest of the recent lows.

Dow Jones Daily Chart




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Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 10% 1% 4%
Weekly -1% 2% 0%

​Dax pushes higher

​Having nearly hit 17,000 last week the index has recovered well, moving back above the 200-day SMA.

​It has recovered the April low, and now looks poised to test 18,000. A close above this helps to support a view that the index will retest the July highs. Sellers will want to see a close back below 17,500 to put it back below the 200-day SMA.

DAX Daily Chart



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