Newsletter Monday, November 18

Photronics Inc. (NASDAQ:), a leading photomask provider, has reported its third-quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings with mixed results. The company faced lower-than-expected sales due to decreased demand from Asia foundries and concerns over high inventory levels.

Despite this, Photronics experienced growth in its memory business and high-end flat panel display (FPD) segments, specifically in AMOLED masks for mobile displays. The company also announced an expansion of its share repurchase program to $100 million and is exploring growth opportunities across the US, Europe, and Asia. Photronics anticipates its fourth-quarter revenue to fall between $213 million and $221 million.

Key Takeaways

  • Photronics reported lower sales, attributed to soft demand from Asia and high inventory concerns.
  • The company saw an improvement in the memory segment and growth in high-end FPD due to AMOLED mask demand.
  • Gross margin decreased due to lower revenue, but operating expenses dropped slightly.
  • Share repurchase program increased to $100 million.
  • Fourth-quarter revenue is projected to be between $213 million and $221 million.

Company Outlook

  • Photronics expects OLED production to increase in larger sizes, particularly in the Gen 8.6 form factor, with good average selling prices (ASPs).
  • The company is optimistic about future growth, supported by megatrends in the photomask market.
  • Growth opportunities are being evaluated in the US, Europe, and Asia.

Bearish Highlights

  • Sales were impacted by reduced photomask demand, leading to lower sales in both IC and FPD.
  • Gross margin suffered due to the decline in revenue.

Bullish Highlights

  • Memory business and high-end FPD segments showed positive growth.
  • The company has maintained margins and generated strong cash flow despite soft demand.
  • Photronics holds a technology advantage in the FPD market and is confident in its technology leadership.

Misses

  • Sales came in lower than expected, primarily due to soft demand from Asia foundries.
  • The company’s tax rate was affected by a change in the jurisdictional mix of earnings, leading to less income attributed to joint ventures.

Q&A Highlights

  • The dismissal of the general counsel had no significant impact on financial results.
  • SG&A expenses increased due to higher professional services fees.
  • The cancellation of Apple (NASDAQ:)’s micro display project did not affect the company’s outlook on the FPD market.
  • Photronics’ mainstream business remains stable with stable prices as they upgrade equipment.

In conclusion, Photronics Inc. is navigating a challenging market with strategic focus on growth and technology leadership. Despite the headwinds faced in the third quarter, the company’s proactive measures and positive segments point to potential resilience and optimism for the upcoming quarter.

InvestingPro Insights

Photronics Inc. (PLAB) remains a subject of interest for investors, particularly given its mixed third-quarter results and strategic initiatives. To provide a deeper understanding of the company’s financial health and market position, let’s consider key metrics and insights from InvestingPro.

InvestingPro Data reveals that Photronics holds a market capitalization of $1.57 billion, with a P/E ratio of 11.55, which adjusts slightly higher to 11.83 when looking at the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This is important for investors to note as it offers a snapshot of the company’s valuation in relation to its earnings. The company’s P/E ratio is trading at a high level relative to near-term earnings growth, which is encapsulated by a PEG ratio of 1.41.

Moreover, Photronics boasts a strong gross profit margin of 37.31%, highlighting its ability to retain a significant portion of sales revenue after accounting for the cost of goods sold. This is a critical aspect for investors, as it indicates the company’s efficiency in managing its production costs and its potential for profitability.

An InvestingPro Tip that stands out is the company’s ability to generate healthy cash flows, which can sufficiently cover interest payments. This is a reassuring sign for investors, as it suggests financial stability and the capacity to manage debt effectively. Additionally, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, Photronics demonstrates financial agility, which is crucial in navigating the uncertain demand patterns and inventory concerns mentioned in the article.

For those looking for more insights, InvestingPro offers a total of 9 tips for Photronics, providing a comprehensive analysis for better investment decisions. For example, while the company does not pay a dividend, analysts predict that Photronics will be profitable this year, having been profitable over the last twelve months. This information, combined with the fact that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, paints a picture of a potentially robust financial standing despite current market challenges.

Investors considering Photronics Inc. can explore these insights and more on where additional InvestingPro Tips can guide their investment strategy.

Full transcript – Photronics Inc (PLAB) Q3 2024:

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Photronics Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded on Thursday, August 29, 2024. I would like now to turn the conference over to Eric Rivera, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Eric Rivera: Thank you, Michelle. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to our review of Photronics Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Results. Joining me this morning are Frank Lee, our Chief Executive Officer; and Chris Progler, our Chief Technology Officer. The press release we issued earlier this morning together with the presentation material that accompanies our remarks are available on the Investor relations sections of our webpage. Comments made by any participants on today’s calls may include forward-looking statements that include such words as anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, forecast and in our view. These forward-looking statements are based upon a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that are difficult to predict. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements. We’re under no duty to update any of the forward-looking statements after the date of the presentation to conform these statements to actual results. During the course of our discussion, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial metrics. These numbers are useful for analysts, investors and management to evaluate ongoing performance. A reconciliation of these metrics to GAAP financial results is provided in our presentation materials. At this time I’ll turn the call over to Frank.

Frank Lee: Thank you, Eric, and good morning, everyone. Third quarter sales came in lighter than we expected due to soft demand from Asia foundry as the strong order rates at the beginning of the quarter lost momentum. Lingering macro uncertainty and customer concern on elevated inventory caused some to limit or defer releasing new designs. As a result, photomask demand slowed, resulting in lower sales for both IC and FPD. High-end logic mask orders decreased while our memory business improved in the quarter. High-end FPD improved due to demand for AMOLED mask used for mobile displays as companies prepare for model release in a recovering smartphone market. Compared with the second quarter, gross margin decreased due to the impact of lower revenue. Operation expenses were slightly lower than the second quarter. EPS was $0.55 after adjusting for an FX gain, non-GAAP EPS was $0.51 higher than last quarter and the same as last year. We continue to generate strong operation cash, giving us added flexibility to invest in growth while also maintaining a strong balance sheet. As a result, we are announcing an increase of our existing share repurchase program to $100 million. Eric will share details in few minutes, but we believe this is the right time to restart our share repurchase activity and enhance our capital allocation framework. Based on our optimism in the long-range photomask market, we are also evaluating several growth options, including strategic expansion, partnerships and other possibilities in US, Europe and Asia. We are maintaining flexibility to act quickly in support of our global customers and partners while remaining disciplined to ensure our investment meet financial objectives. I am very pleased with the way our team has performed during the quarter. They have taken care of the customers while managing costs and maximizing cash to maintain financial strength. We have a great team at Photronics and they are navigating the challenges well. Turning to the market, I would like to comment on the trend we are seeing. Photomask demand is driven mostly by design activity. Several long-term trends such as AI, mobile computing and increased IC content in automotive, energy and consumer applications drive new designs in both leading-edge and legacy technology nodes. All required in new Photomask. As the global leader in IC mask units, we see a high level of new product qualification across the node spectrum each with projected revenue opportunities. This all play well to our marginal strength and is a positive long-term trend for our business. In addition to new designs, Photomask demand is driven by an increase in wafer manufacturing capacity. New fab are being built globally to meet the growth in applications such as data centers that are needed to support AI and to support an increase in supply chain regionalization. This is a positive long-term trend for Photomask demand. Due to our broad geographical footprint capacity and suite of technologies, we are able to provide all of our customers Photomask needs. We supply nearly all leading logic fab with strong market share especially in Taiwan, China and Korea. In US and Europe we are seeing the initial signs of growing demand for regionalization. Turning to display. Innovation is mostly due to new features in mobile displays and to a lesser degree new TV technology that improve performance. On the mobile display. This trend was largely supported by new premium smartphones, higher screen resolution and the need to add additional functions such as fingerprint sensor and cameras while reducing power require new advanced mask sets. AMOLED continues to be introduced into larger sized screen such as tablets and laptop and the development is underway to produce AMOLED on G8.6 glass. These trends all require high-quality Photomask. As the technology leader in LCD mask, we are well positioned to benefit from these trends and grow. While near-term demand is being challenged by dynamic market conditions, we remain optimistic regarding the long-term market outlook. Our competitive advantages including strong customer relations, long-term purchase agreements, leading technology and broad global capacity position us to continue to outgrow the Photomask industry. Our ability to control costs and manage cash should allow us to continue to invest in profitable growth and deliver shareholder value. At this moment, I will turn the call to Eric to review our third quarter results and provide fourth quarter guidance.

Eric Rivera: Thank you, Frank. Third quarter revenue of $211 million was down 3% sequentially with market softness across both IC and FPD. IC revenue decreased 3% quarter-over-quarter. High-end was lower as improved memory sales were not enough to offset lower demand from logic foundries in Asia. Compared with the third quarter of 2023, high-end improved on strong US sales. High-end growth continues to be a factor for us as we see customers migrating to smaller design nodes, including 22 and 28 nanometers to take advantage of the cost and performance benefits. At the leading-edge, our specialty EUV business continues to grow. Year-to-date high-end IC revenue is up 23%, demonstrating our success in growing this segment of our business. Mainstream once again achieved sequential growth as demand improved, particularly in the US. This further validates our belief that Q1 of this year was the bottom of the mainstream downturn and we anticipate additional growth going forward. FPD revenue was lower sequentially as well. On a positive note high-end resumed growth with improved demand for mobile AMOLED displays. Overall display industry dynamics remained somewhat soft, largely due to the same factors that are impacting semiconductor demand. As uncertainty abates, we anticipate achieving above-market growth due to our leading technology, scale, market share and strong customer relationships. Overall, our gross margin was 35.6%, down slightly as we would expect given the softer revenue and our level of operating leverage. Blended ASP held up well as price increases implemented in previous years hold firm. Our long-term purchase agreements continue to provide protection against downside risk during times of market softness, helping us maintain market share and pricing. Delivery premiums, which were meaningful last year are no longer material to our results as lead times have normalized. Operating expenses were slightly lower quarter-over-quarter with operating margins compressing around 110 basis points to 24.7%. Despite softer revenue through the first nine months of 2024, we have maintained strong margins with the year-to-date operating margins of nearly 26%. Below the operating line and excluding the impact of FX gain, we achieved non-GAAP net income of $32 million or $0.51 per share ahead of last quarter and the same as last year. We generated $75.1 million in operating cash flow and CapEx was $24.4 million in the quarter. Year-to-date CapEx is $87.7 million. We expect full year CapEx to be $130 million, $10 million lower than we previously estimated as some of the CapEx payments will not occur until next year. Our CapEx will support anticipated demand growth primarily in multi-node IC capacity and capability and to continue replacing aging tools, all while ensuring we are increasing our return on invested capital. Looking ahead to 2025, we see opportunities to continue investing in growth primarily in IC to ensure we are well positioned to capitalize on the positive long-term megatrends that are driving Photomask demand. We will provide specific 2025 CapEx guidance during our Q4 earnings call in December. We further strengthened our balance sheet during the quarter, increasing the amount of cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments to $606.4 million. Total debt, primarily for equipment leases in the US was reduced to $20.1 million. With our strong balance sheet and demonstrated ability to generate cash, we are increasing the size of our share repurchase program to $100 million and plan to restart activity under the program soon. We believe this is a good use of cash and will add value to our shareholders. Before providing guidance, I’ll remind you that demand for products is inherently uneven and difficult to predict, with limited visibility and typical backlog of one to three weeks. In addition, ASPs for advanced mask sets are high, meaning a relatively low number of high-end orders can have a significant impact on our quarterly revenue and earnings. With those qualifications, we expect fourth quarter revenue to be in the range of $213 million to $221 million. While we are seeing good order rates at the beginning of the fourth quarter, lingering macro uncertainty is keeping us cautious. Based on those revenue expectations and our current operating model, we estimate non-GAAP earnings per share for the fourth quarter to be in the range of $0.48 to $0.54 per diluted share. This equates to an operating margin between 25% and 27% as we continue to keep costs under control and maximize profitability. We delivered sequentially higher adjusted EPS in the third quarter even as demand remains soft. This was achieved by keeping a tight control of cost. We also continue to generate strong cash flow, keeping our balance sheet strong and enabling us to invest in growth. As demand on our markets improve, we are in a great position to grow revenue and expand margins. I’ll now turn the call over to the operator for your questions.

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from Tom Diffely with D.A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Thomas Diffely: Yes, good morning, and thank you for taking a few questions. Eric, I was curious when we go through the results and how earnings kind of held in there despite the weaker revenue, it looks like a combination of tax and the non-controlling interest were the big drivers there. Maybe you can talk about each one, on tax, why did it fall as much as it did? And then on non-controlling, did the China percentage fall quite a bit? And if that’s the case, is the profitability in China not where you want it to be quite yet? Thanks.

Eric Rivera: Sure, Tom. Thanks for the question. So from a tax perspective, what affected tax was the jurisdictional mix of earnings. Similar to the non-controlling interest. So, our non-controlling our joint ventures didn’t perform as well as we would have liked them to perform. So as a result, there was less income attributed to them. However, that was offset by some of our wholly owned subsidiaries. So as our wholly owned subsidiaries, as the mix between earnings between our wholly owned subsidiaries and our joint ventures goes more towards our wholly owned subsidiaries, shareholders of Photronics Inc. benefit from an additional EPS gains.

Thomas Diffely: So maybe to summarize, when you do projects in North America or outside of Asia, the tax rates are better and the profitability is better?

Eric Rivera: So even within Asia there’s certain jurisdictions that just have different tax rates. So as that jurisdictional mix changes, as you have more income in lower tax jurisdiction, you benefit from a tax perspective.

Thomas Diffely: Okay, great. And a couple more here. So I noticed that SG&A was up quite a bit quarter-over-quarter, despite the revenue dip. Maybe a little color there.

Eric Rivera: Sure. So our SG&A was primarily increased due to professional services fees that were incurred during the quarter.

Thomas Diffely: Okay. I guess that leads me to my next question. Any update on the general counsel dismissal and does that have any impact outside of the customer service?

Eric Rivera: No, there was certainly no. There was certainly no impact to our financial results. No significant impact I should say. No update further than that though at this time.

Thomas Diffely: Okay. And then just one broad question. When you look at the margin structure on the mature the mainstream business and how over the last few years it’s ramped nicely. It kind of peaked maybe a year ago. Is the mainstream business still healthy from a price point of view or has the softness in the overall transaction run rate put it back into its old kind of sequentially declining on an annual basis?

Frank Lee: Tom, this is Frank. Our mainstream business actually is very stable because as we reported several times in the call, in the mainstream manufacturing side, there are many end-of-life tools. So with that we have to replace the equipment to add capacity. But in general the capacity for mainstream segment is not increasing. So that enabled us to keep the stable price.

Thomas Diffely: Okay, great. And then I don’t know if Chris is on the call, but I do have a kind of a technology question.

Christopher Progler: Yes, I’m here, Tom.

Thomas Diffely: Oh, hey, Chris. So I guess two things. First, are you seeing any or what do you think the longer term impact is, if any, of Apple canceling its micro display project? And then how do you see OLED ramping into flat panels of a larger size over time?

Christopher Progler: Yeah. So the micro display, we don’t really see much impact. Micro display, we didn’t have it marked up as a big growth driver for Photomask. So to the extent companies like Apple decide not to commit to micro display, does not really change our outlook on the FPD market. As far as the OLED, definitely we see the Gen 8.6 form factor starting to go into production next year we believe. One of the large panel makers already has that fab. And we’re talking to them about shipping initial masks into that. And we do think we’ll be in a good POR position for that those high form factor masks. And the ASPs for those because they’re tough masks to make AMOLED at Gen 8.6, much harder, much more complex than LCD. We’ll see really good ASPs on those products.

Thomas Diffely: Okay. And I assume that you have a bit of a technology advantage over some of your newer peers in that space as well?

Christopher Progler: Yeah. For sure, in FPD, we think we have pretty strong technology lead. The other thing we see on AMOLED is a lot of take up of so-called advanced masks, things that you know not to use jargon but phase-shifting masks and the types of technology that really helped IC evolve through Moore’s law. We’re seeing the adoption rate on those for flat panel increase quarter-over-quarter. So really good take up on our higher end masks to get more performance on panel. So we think our tech leadership here is going to be a big advantage.

Thomas Diffely: Great. Okay, well, thank you, Eric, Frank and Chris. Appreciate your time today.

Christopher Progler: Thank you, Tom.

Eric Rivera: Thank you.

Frank Lee: Thank you.

Operator: Thanks. I show no further questions in the queue at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Frank Lee for closing comments.

Frank Lee: Thank you. Thank you for joining us this morning. While demand has been soft through the first nine months of 2024. We have done a good job of maintaining margins and generating strong cash. I’m proud of the way we have performed. Looking longer term, there are several megatrends that should support market growth. As the leading Photomask producers, we are well positioned to grow as demand improves, creating value for our customer, employees, and shareholders. I look forward to updating you on our progress. Thank you.

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your line. Thank you.

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